The multifamily real estate market showed resilience in the third quarter, despite the COVID-19 pandemic. Rent growth posted declines, yet rent payments have held steady and the market fared better than other property sectors.
Source: Arbor Chatter
Showing posts with label apartment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label apartment. Show all posts
Thursday, November 19, 2020
Thursday, August 20, 2020
U.S. Multifamily Market Snapshot Q2 2020
The multifamily market felt the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in the second quarter. Following a historically strong 10-year run, rent growth slowed and sales volume declined, as investors showed caution. Although the quarter’s results show that multifamily is not immune to the recession, and the course of the pandemic is still unknown, the sector has shown resiliency as compared with other sectors.
Source: Arbor Chatter
Tuesday, June 9, 2020
Phoenix Multifamily Market Spotlight Q1 2020
This article was originally published on Arbor Chatter as "Market Spotlight: Phoenix Multifamily on Solid Ground", and all charts and images are from Arbor Chatter.
-----
- The Phoenix multifamily market had highest rent growth in the U.S. over the last 12 months.
- Investment volume reached a record high in 2019, and price growth significantly outperformed the U.S. overall.
- Employment growth was stronger than the national average, with balanced growth across industries.
-----
Phoenix Multifamily Market on Solid Ground
Prior to the onset of COVID-19, the Phoenix multifamily market stood on solid ground. The market had the highest rent growth in the nation, along with an active development pipeline and high investment activity.
The Reis COVID-19 Impact Dashboard predicted that a diverse economy and strong recent job growth will protect the market against significant losses. Employment growth ranked sixth in the U.S. over the last five years, with balanced growth across industries. Additionally, the market has moderate exposure to the leisure, hospitality and retail sectors, which are most vulnerable to the impact of COVID-19, accounting for 22% of the labor market.
The depth of the downturn is becoming more apparent, although the course of the pandemic and success of public health measures will determine the duration of the recession. The Valley of the Sun is not immune to the economic effects of the recession that will be felt throughout the nation. However, starting from a position of strength, in the longer term the market is expected to remain attractive to investors given its diverse economy and employment base.
Rental Market
During the last recession the Phoenix multifamily market experienced a steep downturn. However, it rebounded with a strong recovery, which included the highest rent growth in the U.S. over the last 12 months. According to Moody’s Analytics REIS, the average asking rent in Phoenix increased 6.9% during the 12 months ending in March 2020, and has risen every quarter since third-quarter 2010. The rent growth for Class A properties was 6.3% over the last 12 months, while Class B/C rents increased 6.4%.
The Valley’s vacancy rate was 4.6% at the end of the quarter, only slightly higher than the 4.4% rate reported one year ago, despite elevated levels of new construction. The Class A vacancy rate finished at 5.3%, while vacancy in Class B/C properties was 3.7%.
The lowest vacancy rates were in the Maryvale and Sunnyslope submarkets. The Central Phoenix South submarket, where much of the new development has taken place recently, had one of the highest vacancy rates among submarkets, at 6.5%.
“Phoenix multifamily is likely to take some hits in this downturn, given that the area is projected to lose close to 10% of its total employment base,” said Dr. Victor Calanog, Head of Commercial Real Estate Economics for Moody’s Analytics REIS in a statement prepared for Arbor. “Though vacancies are projected to rise and rents are expected to fall, we do not anticipate breaching historic highs for vacancies and rent declines will likely be lower in magnitudes relative to ’08 and ‘09.”
Development
Multifamily development in Phoenix was booming prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, and residential construction has continued to operate as an essential business throughout.
Demand was able to keep pace with supply during the cycle, with 7,200 new units coming online during 2019, alongside 7,400 units of net absorption. More than 9,600 new units are expected to be delivered to the market in 2020 according to the Reis baseline forecast, which would approach totals not seen since the 1980s. However, that total could fall as low as 6,700 under more severe scenarios.
At the submarket level, the Central Phoenix South submarket had the most new units delivered recently, while the Chandler/Gilbert submarket had the most units under construction.
Investment Activity
Phoenix multifamily investment volume reached a record high of $8.2 billion during 2019, according to data from Real Capital Analytics (RCA). However, in the first three months of 2020, investors showed signs of caution, with only $1.3 billion in sales recorded. This was lower than the five-year quarterly average of $1.4 billion, and an annualized rate of only $5.1 billion. Cap rates remained at a historical low of 4.9%, down from 5.1% one year ago.
The slowdown has yet to affect pricing. The RCA Commercial Property Price Index for Phoenix increased an astounding 19.8% for the 12 months ending in March, up from 16.0% one year ago. U.S. overall apartment property prices rose 11.0% year over year, the fastest growth for the sector since 2018, and prices for all commercial properties increased 7.2%.
The duration of the pandemic and the magnitude of how investment activity will be affected are still unknowns, but past downturns may be a guide. RCA data shows that the Phoenix apartment market took 76 months to get from its lowest point during the Global Financial Crisis back up to its peak. This was the third longest recovery time in the country. The average recovery time of the markets covered was 46 months.
Economy
Nearly all measures of the Phoenix economy were strong going into the COVID-19 pandemic. The area had experienced strong employment growth, along with the fastest population gains in the country, including positive in-migration. These factors should help the Valley fare better than most markets, and improves its outlook amid the national recession.
Prior to the pandemic, job growth in the Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ metro area was 3.2% for the 12 months ending in February 2020, significantly stronger than the U.S. overall rate of 1.6%, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The number of jobs in the metro area fell by 7.6% in April, after Arizona closed nonessential businesses, representing a loss of 229,000 jobs in just two months, but faring better than employment for U.S. overall, which declined 12.9%.
By the end of April, the unemployment rate for the metro area had jumped to 12.3%, up from 3.8% in February prior to the shutdown. That rate is expected to continue to increase in the coming months as the full effects of the pandemic are measured, and may reach beyond the leisure, hospitality and retail sectors.
Friday, March 30, 2018
Los Angeles Multifamily Rents Hit New Highs for 2017, Class B/C Vacancies Decrease
Los Angeles remained one of the more sought-after multifamily markets in the U.S. during 2017, as rent growth and investment volume ranked near the top nationally. The vacancy rate also remained low, despite an influx of new supply, and demand for additional housing remains high. The local economy has recovered from the recession, although high housing costs and restricted in-migration may slow expansion.
Read the full report on Arbor Chatter here: Los Angeles Multifamily Rents Hit New Highs for 2017, Class B/C Vacancies Decrease
Dallas Multifamily Posts Strong 2017, Eyes on Supply & Demand Balance for 2018
The Dallas multifamily market posted strong results in 2017 as rent growth continued and investment activity was high. Vacancy — driven by an influx of new supply — increased, though levels remained well below previous highs.
Read the full report on Arbor Chatter here: Dallas Multifamily Posts Strong 2017, Eyes on Supply & Demand Balance for 2018
Tuesday, March 6, 2018
U.S. Multifamily Year in Review 2017 – Still Going Strong
This article was originally published on Arbor Chatter: U.S. Multifamily Year in Review 2017 – Still Going Strong and all charts and images are from Arbor Chatter.
-----
The U.S. multifamily market continued to post strong results during 2017. Rent growth slowed, although remained healthy, and appears to have peaked in 2015. Despite a high volume of new supply, vacancy increased only slightly and remained at historically low rates. Investment activity was slow to start the year, yet gained momentum as the year went on, and finished just below 2016’s record highs.
Rental Market
The fourth quarter marked the 32nd consecutive quarter with positive rent growth for U.S. multifamily properties, according to data from Reis. Rent increased 4.2% during 2017, up from 4.0% during 2016, although was below the peak of 5.9% posted in 2015.
The vacancy rate increased to 4.5%, up from 4.2% one year ago, yet remained well below the previous high of 8.0% in 2009. The active development pipeline suggests 2016 may have been the cyclical low for vacancy.
Rent growth in Class A properties increased 4.3% year-over-year, as compared with 3.2% for Class B/C properties. Additionally, vacancy in Class A properties increased to 5.8% from 5.5% at the end of 2016, while Class B/C vacancy rose to 3.4% from 3.1%.
Birmingham had the most substantial rent growth among primary markets for the year, increasing 7.3%. Gains in the financial services and construction industries have driven the local economy.
New Development
Data from Reis showed that 2017 was a record year for multifamily supply growth in the U.S., as more than 221,100 new units came online, surpassing the 2016 total of 219,800 units. Demand struggled to keep pace with the additional supply, as absorption totaled 167,700 units, down from 213,900 units in 2016.
Many projects initially expected to finish during 2017 were delayed into 2018, suggesting an even stronger year ahead. Reis forecasts that a total of 265,100 new units will be added to the market in 2018, with absorption predicted to reach 202,500 units.
A total of 199,600 Class A multifamily units were delivered during 2017, building on last year’s total of 207,100 units. In the last eight years, less than 28,000 Class B/C multifamily properties have been added to the market.
Sales Market
Following a slow start to the year, multifamily investment activity increased as the year progressed. Data from Real Capital Analytics (RCA) showed that 2017 volume reached $150.1 billion, just below the historical high of $161.2 billion recorded during 2016, marking the first year since 2009 with a decline in volume.
The average sales price was up 1.0% on the year and up 19% compared to the five-year average. Cap rates continued to decline, falling 10 basis points during the year, to 5.6%.
The RCA CPPI™ apartment price index increased 10.6% during 2017, higher than the 10.1% increase for 2016. In comparison, the all property index increased 7.1% in 2017 and 8.6% in 2016.
Economic Overview
According to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) , total nonfarm payroll employment in the U.S. increased 1.5% during 2017, a gain of 2.2 million jobs, which was the lowest annual total since 2012. Employment trended up in construction, food services and drinking places, health care, and manufacturing. The unemployment rate was 4.1%, an improvement on the 4.7% rate reported one year ago.
The BLS also reported that over the last 12 months, the Consumer Price Index increased 2.1%. The shelter index rose 3.7%, down from 4.0% one year ago, with both the owners’ equivalent rent and the rent of primary residence indexes increasing 3.2%.
Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 2.6% in the fourth quarter of 2017, according to the “advance” estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
The U.S. Census Bureau reported that the homeownership rate finished 2017 at 64.2%, up slightly from 63.7% at the end of 2016. This marked the first annual increase since the peak of 69.2% in 2004, during one of the biggest housing booms in history.
-----
The U.S. multifamily market continued to post strong results during 2017. Rent growth slowed, although remained healthy, and appears to have peaked in 2015. Despite a high volume of new supply, vacancy increased only slightly and remained at historically low rates. Investment activity was slow to start the year, yet gained momentum as the year went on, and finished just below 2016’s record highs.
Rental Market
The fourth quarter marked the 32nd consecutive quarter with positive rent growth for U.S. multifamily properties, according to data from Reis. Rent increased 4.2% during 2017, up from 4.0% during 2016, although was below the peak of 5.9% posted in 2015.
The vacancy rate increased to 4.5%, up from 4.2% one year ago, yet remained well below the previous high of 8.0% in 2009. The active development pipeline suggests 2016 may have been the cyclical low for vacancy.
Rent growth in Class A properties increased 4.3% year-over-year, as compared with 3.2% for Class B/C properties. Additionally, vacancy in Class A properties increased to 5.8% from 5.5% at the end of 2016, while Class B/C vacancy rose to 3.4% from 3.1%.
Birmingham had the most substantial rent growth among primary markets for the year, increasing 7.3%. Gains in the financial services and construction industries have driven the local economy.
New Development
Data from Reis showed that 2017 was a record year for multifamily supply growth in the U.S., as more than 221,100 new units came online, surpassing the 2016 total of 219,800 units. Demand struggled to keep pace with the additional supply, as absorption totaled 167,700 units, down from 213,900 units in 2016.
Many projects initially expected to finish during 2017 were delayed into 2018, suggesting an even stronger year ahead. Reis forecasts that a total of 265,100 new units will be added to the market in 2018, with absorption predicted to reach 202,500 units.
A total of 199,600 Class A multifamily units were delivered during 2017, building on last year’s total of 207,100 units. In the last eight years, less than 28,000 Class B/C multifamily properties have been added to the market.
Sales Market
Following a slow start to the year, multifamily investment activity increased as the year progressed. Data from Real Capital Analytics (RCA) showed that 2017 volume reached $150.1 billion, just below the historical high of $161.2 billion recorded during 2016, marking the first year since 2009 with a decline in volume.
The average sales price was up 1.0% on the year and up 19% compared to the five-year average. Cap rates continued to decline, falling 10 basis points during the year, to 5.6%.
The RCA CPPI™ apartment price index increased 10.6% during 2017, higher than the 10.1% increase for 2016. In comparison, the all property index increased 7.1% in 2017 and 8.6% in 2016.
Economic Overview
According to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) , total nonfarm payroll employment in the U.S. increased 1.5% during 2017, a gain of 2.2 million jobs, which was the lowest annual total since 2012. Employment trended up in construction, food services and drinking places, health care, and manufacturing. The unemployment rate was 4.1%, an improvement on the 4.7% rate reported one year ago.
The BLS also reported that over the last 12 months, the Consumer Price Index increased 2.1%. The shelter index rose 3.7%, down from 4.0% one year ago, with both the owners’ equivalent rent and the rent of primary residence indexes increasing 3.2%.
Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 2.6% in the fourth quarter of 2017, according to the “advance” estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
The U.S. Census Bureau reported that the homeownership rate finished 2017 at 64.2%, up slightly from 63.7% at the end of 2016. This marked the first annual increase since the peak of 69.2% in 2004, during one of the biggest housing booms in history.
Thursday, December 14, 2017
Chicago Multifamily Market Update: Deal Volume Up as Investors Chase Yield
This article was originally published on ALEX Chatter: Chicago Multifamily Market Update: Deal Volume Up as Investors Chase Yield and all charts and images are from ALEX Chatter.
-----
The Chicago multifamily market remained strong during Q3 2017, as rents continued to set new record highs. Rising vacancy rates remained in line with the market’s historical average, despite a historically high influx of new supply. Corporate relocations and an emerging technology sector have driven demand. Additional demand factors include more millennials entering prime renting age and baby boomers downsizing into apartments.
Rental Market
According to Reis, the average asking rent for multifamily properties in Chicago reached $1,347/unit at the end of Q3 2017, up from $1,336/unit during Q2 2017, and represented the highest level on record. Year-over-year, rent was up 4.9%. The Class A average at the end of the quarter was $1,835/unit, up 5.8% year-over-year, while rent for Class B/C properties drifted upward 3.0% to $1,065/unit. Gold Coast, an area with a high concentration of new luxury development, posted the highest submarket rent, at $2,480/unit. Reis projects overall rent growth in Chicago will average 4.8% during 2017, and will slow to 1.7% by 2021.
After rising in every quarter since year-end 2009, Chicago’s vacancy rate finished at 4.5%, an increase as compared with 3.8% one year ago. The increase has been mostly driven by the addition of new high-end luxury developments to the market. The Class A vacancy rate finished at 6.1%, up from 5.0% year-over-year, while Class B/C properties finished the quarter at 3.5%, up from 3.2%. East Lake County had the lowest submarket vacancy at 2.0%. Reis forecasts that the market’s overall vacancy rate will reach 4.7% by the end of 2017, then inch up to 4.9% by the end of 2021.
“Although the apartment vacancy rate is expected to continue to rise as the supply of new units is expected to exceed occupancy growth, the increase in vacancy should be moderate,” says Barbara Denham, Senior Economist at Reis. “Most major metros face a similar predicament: higher new completions and decelerating demand. Chicago’s excess supply is much lower than most major metros as developers have been more cautious relative to other cities, and demand growth has been steady.”
New Development
Among the top U.S. markets, Chicago had the most cranes working on residential projects, according to the most recent Crane Index survey from Rider Levett Bucknall. However, demand for newly constructed luxury apartments has not been able to keep up with the pace of new supply, as more than 6,806 new units were completed during 2016, while absorption totaled 6,233 units. The highest concentration of new development has been in the City West, Gold Coast, and Loop submarkets.
Reis forecasts 7,329 new units will come online in Chicago during 2017, which would mark the highest annual total in the last 30 years, while absorption is expected to reach only 4,155 units. An additional 16,363 new units are expected to be delivered through 2021, representing 3.5% of the existing inventory, with absorption expected to total 14,427 units during that time.
Sales Market
On the multifamily investment side, the Chicago market turned in a strong quarter during Q3, as prices increased and cap rates declined.
Data from Real Capital Analytics (RCA) showed that sales volume totaled $1.6 billion during the quarter, higher than the five-year quarterly average of $892.2 million. The 12-month average sale price was $190,990/unit, up 9.0% from the same time one year ago.
Through the first nine months of the year, sales totaled $3.3 billion, higher than the $2.9 billion recorded for the same period during 2016. For all of 2016 sales totaled $4.6 billion, the highest annual total on record.
“It should come as no surprise that deal volume is growing in Chicago even as it falls in other major markets of the US. Investors are hungry for yield and Chicago has that and then some,” says Jim Costello, SVP, Real Capital Analytics. “Over the last 12 months, cap rates in Chicago have averaged 140 basis points lower than those for the large coastal markets. This growth in deal activity is following the yield advantages.”
The RCA Chicago Apartment CPPI™ increased 9.1% over the last 12 months, compared to 9.9% one year ago and 10.0% for the U.S. overall.
Foreign investment accounted for $503.5 million of transaction volume year-to-date. Canadian investors accounted for $262.5 million of activity, with France following close behind at $201.0 million.
Chicago’s 12-month rolling average cap rate at the end of September was 5.9%, down from 6.1% one year ago, although higher than the U.S. overall average of 5.6%.
Economy
The Windy City’s recovering business cycle continues to move forward at a healthy pace, although budgetary issues and high crime rates remain a concern.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that total nonfarm employment in the Chicago-Naperville-Arlington Heights, IL metropolitan division increased by 0.3% (representing 11,100 jobs) during the 12 months ending in September 2017, lower than the 1.2% gain for the U.S. overall during that time.
The largest gains over the last 12 months were in the financial activities sector (up 4.1%), while the losses were measured in the trade, transportation, and utilities sector (down 0.7%). Chicago’s unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, an improvement from 4.9% one year ago, and in line with the U.S. overall rate.
The local housing market continued its recovery, as the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index increased 3.9% during the 12 months ending in September, trailing the U.S. index, which increased 6.2%. Chicago’s index remains well below its pre-recession high set in March 2007.
The Zillow Home Value Index for Chicago increased 6.4% during the 12 months ending in September 2017, lower than the 6.9% increase for the U.S. index during that time. Zillow also reported that Chicago's price-to-income ratio came in at 3.1, putting it 2.2% higher than the market historical average, although in line with the U.S. average. Mortgage affordability was reported at 41.4% lower than the historical average, while rental affordability was 20.8% higher than its historical average.
-----
The Chicago multifamily market remained strong during Q3 2017, as rents continued to set new record highs. Rising vacancy rates remained in line with the market’s historical average, despite a historically high influx of new supply. Corporate relocations and an emerging technology sector have driven demand. Additional demand factors include more millennials entering prime renting age and baby boomers downsizing into apartments.
Rental Market
According to Reis, the average asking rent for multifamily properties in Chicago reached $1,347/unit at the end of Q3 2017, up from $1,336/unit during Q2 2017, and represented the highest level on record. Year-over-year, rent was up 4.9%. The Class A average at the end of the quarter was $1,835/unit, up 5.8% year-over-year, while rent for Class B/C properties drifted upward 3.0% to $1,065/unit. Gold Coast, an area with a high concentration of new luxury development, posted the highest submarket rent, at $2,480/unit. Reis projects overall rent growth in Chicago will average 4.8% during 2017, and will slow to 1.7% by 2021.
After rising in every quarter since year-end 2009, Chicago’s vacancy rate finished at 4.5%, an increase as compared with 3.8% one year ago. The increase has been mostly driven by the addition of new high-end luxury developments to the market. The Class A vacancy rate finished at 6.1%, up from 5.0% year-over-year, while Class B/C properties finished the quarter at 3.5%, up from 3.2%. East Lake County had the lowest submarket vacancy at 2.0%. Reis forecasts that the market’s overall vacancy rate will reach 4.7% by the end of 2017, then inch up to 4.9% by the end of 2021.
“Although the apartment vacancy rate is expected to continue to rise as the supply of new units is expected to exceed occupancy growth, the increase in vacancy should be moderate,” says Barbara Denham, Senior Economist at Reis. “Most major metros face a similar predicament: higher new completions and decelerating demand. Chicago’s excess supply is much lower than most major metros as developers have been more cautious relative to other cities, and demand growth has been steady.”
New Development
Among the top U.S. markets, Chicago had the most cranes working on residential projects, according to the most recent Crane Index survey from Rider Levett Bucknall. However, demand for newly constructed luxury apartments has not been able to keep up with the pace of new supply, as more than 6,806 new units were completed during 2016, while absorption totaled 6,233 units. The highest concentration of new development has been in the City West, Gold Coast, and Loop submarkets.
Reis forecasts 7,329 new units will come online in Chicago during 2017, which would mark the highest annual total in the last 30 years, while absorption is expected to reach only 4,155 units. An additional 16,363 new units are expected to be delivered through 2021, representing 3.5% of the existing inventory, with absorption expected to total 14,427 units during that time.
Sales Market
On the multifamily investment side, the Chicago market turned in a strong quarter during Q3, as prices increased and cap rates declined.
Data from Real Capital Analytics (RCA) showed that sales volume totaled $1.6 billion during the quarter, higher than the five-year quarterly average of $892.2 million. The 12-month average sale price was $190,990/unit, up 9.0% from the same time one year ago.
Through the first nine months of the year, sales totaled $3.3 billion, higher than the $2.9 billion recorded for the same period during 2016. For all of 2016 sales totaled $4.6 billion, the highest annual total on record.
“It should come as no surprise that deal volume is growing in Chicago even as it falls in other major markets of the US. Investors are hungry for yield and Chicago has that and then some,” says Jim Costello, SVP, Real Capital Analytics. “Over the last 12 months, cap rates in Chicago have averaged 140 basis points lower than those for the large coastal markets. This growth in deal activity is following the yield advantages.”
The RCA Chicago Apartment CPPI™ increased 9.1% over the last 12 months, compared to 9.9% one year ago and 10.0% for the U.S. overall.
Foreign investment accounted for $503.5 million of transaction volume year-to-date. Canadian investors accounted for $262.5 million of activity, with France following close behind at $201.0 million.
Chicago’s 12-month rolling average cap rate at the end of September was 5.9%, down from 6.1% one year ago, although higher than the U.S. overall average of 5.6%.
Economy
The Windy City’s recovering business cycle continues to move forward at a healthy pace, although budgetary issues and high crime rates remain a concern.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that total nonfarm employment in the Chicago-Naperville-Arlington Heights, IL metropolitan division increased by 0.3% (representing 11,100 jobs) during the 12 months ending in September 2017, lower than the 1.2% gain for the U.S. overall during that time.
The largest gains over the last 12 months were in the financial activities sector (up 4.1%), while the losses were measured in the trade, transportation, and utilities sector (down 0.7%). Chicago’s unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, an improvement from 4.9% one year ago, and in line with the U.S. overall rate.
The local housing market continued its recovery, as the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index increased 3.9% during the 12 months ending in September, trailing the U.S. index, which increased 6.2%. Chicago’s index remains well below its pre-recession high set in March 2007.
The Zillow Home Value Index for Chicago increased 6.4% during the 12 months ending in September 2017, lower than the 6.9% increase for the U.S. index during that time. Zillow also reported that Chicago's price-to-income ratio came in at 3.1, putting it 2.2% higher than the market historical average, although in line with the U.S. average. Mortgage affordability was reported at 41.4% lower than the historical average, while rental affordability was 20.8% higher than its historical average.
Monday, January 9, 2017
Where is Commercial Real Estate Headed in 2017?
This article was originally published on ALEX Chatter: Where is Commercial Real Estate Headed in 2017? and all images are from ALEX Chatter.
-----
Left to Right: Panel moderator Barbara Byrne Denham (Reis); Charles Ostroff (Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.); Anika Khan (Wells Fargo); Bob Knakal (Cushman & Wakefield).
-----
 | |
Here are key findings from the annual Reis Breakfast Briefing held at the New York Athletic Club in Manhattan last week.
Victor Calanog Ph.D., Reis, Inc. introduced the panel, which included Anika Khan of Wells Fargo Securities, Bob Knakal of Cushman & Wakefield, and Charles Ostroff of Arbor. The panel was moderated by Barbara Byrne Denham of Reis.
The panel answered questions covering the state of the commercial real estate market and what can be expected in 2017. Here are some notes of the talking points covered by each of the panelists.
Charles Ostroff – SVP, Agency Products, Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
Despite a high level of multifamily development, absorption has remained strong. Rent growth is slowing, but remains positive and should be in the 3 – 4% range nationally next year. All of the new development is Class A product, no one is building the Class B/C product that remains in high demand.
The current financing market is still led by acquisitions, as opposed to refinances. Sellers are also looking at certainty of execution, not only the highest bid. The caps for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will remain at $36.5 billion for 2017, and will act as a balloon to provide additional liquidity if needed.
The Trump administration policy will be a wait-and-see approach. While policy details are uncertain, we could be entering a period of de-regulation. It will take time to roll back Dodd-Frank, if it happens at all, as banks are already set up for risk retention. Lending is a matter of competition and lenders need to decide how much risk to take.
Anika Khan – Managing Director & Senior Economist, Wells Fargo
Commercial real estate is subject to business and economic cycles. Economists have warned that real estate has reached a mature phase and that asset values are at an alarming level. Any unbalance in the economy could disrupt prices.
We don’t have clear policy details for the Trump administration, although infrastructure is a big fiscal multiplier. It remains to be seen what level of spending will be approved. Infrastructure spending has less impact during a late stage expansion — like we are in now — than during a recession.
Bob Knakal – Chairman, New York Investment Sales, Cushman & Wakefield, Inc.
We are in the second inning of a new game. The last game ended last year. 2014 and 2015 were the best two years ever for New York real estate. Sales volume is expected to be down in 2016, compared to the previous two years’ historic levels. Land and hotel values are already declining and other sectors are plateauing. Office concessions are way up, but rents remain stable, as fundamentals are eroding and interest rates are rising.
Forty percent of residential sales in Manhattan are investors buying condos, adding pressure to the rental market. Foreign investment remains strong, as Manhattan real estate acts as a safe deposit box for foreign investment, and Brexit has been a boost.
Tax laws that are beneficial to the real estate industry, such as capital gains tax rates and 1031 exchanges, should remain unchanged in the new administration.
Wednesday, December 7, 2016
Multifamily Market Update — Q3 2016
This article was originally published on ALEX Chatter: Multifamily Market Update — Q3 2016 and all images are from ALEX Chatter.
-----
The U.S. multifamily market continued to be boosted by the strong national economy during Q3 2016, as the job market posted steady gains and home prices approached pre-recession levels, although uncertainty remained around interest rates and added supply.
Rent Growth
According to Reis, the average asking rent reached $1,272/unit, a 3.9% increase over the $1,224/unit average one year ago, and has risen in every quarter since Q1 2010. The Class A average was $1,473/unit, up 3.8% year-over-year, while Class B/C properties increased 3.4% to $1,030/unit. Among primary markets, New York City posted the highest rent nationally, at $3,499/unit, followed by San Francisco, at $2,548/unit. Overall, Reis forecasts rents to grow 3.7% during 2016, and slow to 2.3% by 2020.
The strongest performing multifamily market in the U.S. over the last 12 months was Seattle, where average asking rent increased 9.3%, climbing to $1,491/unit, from $1,364/unit. Driven by a strong local economy—with a broad industry base featuring aerospace, high-tech, and e-commerce—rents have increased in every quarter since 2009 in the market.
Portland posted the second largest increase in the nation, boosted by high-tech job growth, including renewable energy business and tech start-ups. The area’s strong local economy built on port distribution, strong tourism, and affordability compared to the Bay Area, should help Portland remain a strong performer in the long run.
One of the fastest movers year-to-date has been Atlanta, where asking rents increased 7.2%, to $1,067/unit from $995/unit. The market moved to #3 from #15 at the end of 2015. Atlanta has shown signs of its pre-recession past, with a strong housing market and inward-migration amid steady job growth.
Markets in the Bay Area have slipped. At the end of the third quarter, San Francisco came in at #75 out of 75 markets, with a 0.5% increase (the market was ranked #2 at the end of 2015) and Oakland-East Bay ranked #46 with a 3.2% increase (previously #7).
Vacancy Rate
The vacancy rate finished at 4.4%, an increase compared with 4.3% one year ago, although slightly higher than the most recent low of 4.2% reported in Q2 2015. The Class A vacancy rate was 6.2%, while Class B/C properties finished the quarter at 3.0%. Detroit had the lowest vacancy rate at 2.5%. Development of Class A properties is expected to exert upward pressure on the vacancy rate for the high-end market, while demand for Class B/C rentals is expected to remain high amid tighter supply conditions. Overall, Reis forecasts vacancy to increase to 5.1% by the end of 2020.
Nearly 46,000 new multifamily units were completed in the U.S. through the first nine months of 2016, compared to 206,000 units for all of 2015. Reis forecasts 218,000 new units to come online during 2016, representing 2.1% of the existing inventory, and would be the highest annual total on record. Absorption is forecast to reach 179,000 units for the year, falling short of the 2015 total of 188,000. An additional 492,000 units are expected to be completed through 2020, increasing inventory by 4.6%, with absorption expected to total 414,000 units during that time.
Multifamily Investment Sales
According to Real Capital Analytics, sales volume for U.S. multifamily properties totaled $35.0 billion during Q3 2016, higher than the three-year quarterly average of $32.9 billion, and brought the year-to-date total to $111.3 billion. Annual sales volume was on pace to reach $148.4 billion, which would nearly match 2015’s record-high total of $151.3 billion.
Real Capital Analytics also reported that cross-border capital investment represented 5.6% of total volume through the first nine months of the year, down from 12.8% for all of 2015. These transactions accounted for $6.2 billion in volume, one third the 2015 total of $19.6 billion.
Employment Growth
On the economic front, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that employment in United States increased 1.6%, or 2.4 million jobs, during the 12 months ending in October 2016.
Job growth averaged 181,000 per month year-to-date, compared with an average of 229,000 per month in 2015. The largest gains over the last 12 months were in the professional and business services (up 2.7%), construction (up 2.6%), and education and health services (up 2.6%) sectors.
The largest year-over-year increases in employment among metropolitan divisions were Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach-Deerfield Beach, FL (up 4.4%), Dallas-Plano-Irving, TX (up 4.2%), and Haverhill-Newburyport-Amesbury Town, MA-NH (up 4.2%).
-----
The U.S. multifamily market continued to be boosted by the strong national economy during Q3 2016, as the job market posted steady gains and home prices approached pre-recession levels, although uncertainty remained around interest rates and added supply.
Rent Growth
According to Reis, the average asking rent reached $1,272/unit, a 3.9% increase over the $1,224/unit average one year ago, and has risen in every quarter since Q1 2010. The Class A average was $1,473/unit, up 3.8% year-over-year, while Class B/C properties increased 3.4% to $1,030/unit. Among primary markets, New York City posted the highest rent nationally, at $3,499/unit, followed by San Francisco, at $2,548/unit. Overall, Reis forecasts rents to grow 3.7% during 2016, and slow to 2.3% by 2020.
The strongest performing multifamily market in the U.S. over the last 12 months was Seattle, where average asking rent increased 9.3%, climbing to $1,491/unit, from $1,364/unit. Driven by a strong local economy—with a broad industry base featuring aerospace, high-tech, and e-commerce—rents have increased in every quarter since 2009 in the market.
Portland posted the second largest increase in the nation, boosted by high-tech job growth, including renewable energy business and tech start-ups. The area’s strong local economy built on port distribution, strong tourism, and affordability compared to the Bay Area, should help Portland remain a strong performer in the long run.
One of the fastest movers year-to-date has been Atlanta, where asking rents increased 7.2%, to $1,067/unit from $995/unit. The market moved to #3 from #15 at the end of 2015. Atlanta has shown signs of its pre-recession past, with a strong housing market and inward-migration amid steady job growth.
Markets in the Bay Area have slipped. At the end of the third quarter, San Francisco came in at #75 out of 75 markets, with a 0.5% increase (the market was ranked #2 at the end of 2015) and Oakland-East Bay ranked #46 with a 3.2% increase (previously #7).
Vacancy Rate
The vacancy rate finished at 4.4%, an increase compared with 4.3% one year ago, although slightly higher than the most recent low of 4.2% reported in Q2 2015. The Class A vacancy rate was 6.2%, while Class B/C properties finished the quarter at 3.0%. Detroit had the lowest vacancy rate at 2.5%. Development of Class A properties is expected to exert upward pressure on the vacancy rate for the high-end market, while demand for Class B/C rentals is expected to remain high amid tighter supply conditions. Overall, Reis forecasts vacancy to increase to 5.1% by the end of 2020.
Nearly 46,000 new multifamily units were completed in the U.S. through the first nine months of 2016, compared to 206,000 units for all of 2015. Reis forecasts 218,000 new units to come online during 2016, representing 2.1% of the existing inventory, and would be the highest annual total on record. Absorption is forecast to reach 179,000 units for the year, falling short of the 2015 total of 188,000. An additional 492,000 units are expected to be completed through 2020, increasing inventory by 4.6%, with absorption expected to total 414,000 units during that time.
Multifamily Investment Sales
According to Real Capital Analytics, sales volume for U.S. multifamily properties totaled $35.0 billion during Q3 2016, higher than the three-year quarterly average of $32.9 billion, and brought the year-to-date total to $111.3 billion. Annual sales volume was on pace to reach $148.4 billion, which would nearly match 2015’s record-high total of $151.3 billion.
Real Capital Analytics also reported that cross-border capital investment represented 5.6% of total volume through the first nine months of the year, down from 12.8% for all of 2015. These transactions accounted for $6.2 billion in volume, one third the 2015 total of $19.6 billion.
Employment Growth
On the economic front, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that employment in United States increased 1.6%, or 2.4 million jobs, during the 12 months ending in October 2016.
Job growth averaged 181,000 per month year-to-date, compared with an average of 229,000 per month in 2015. The largest gains over the last 12 months were in the professional and business services (up 2.7%), construction (up 2.6%), and education and health services (up 2.6%) sectors.
The largest year-over-year increases in employment among metropolitan divisions were Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach-Deerfield Beach, FL (up 4.4%), Dallas-Plano-Irving, TX (up 4.2%), and Haverhill-Newburyport-Amesbury Town, MA-NH (up 4.2%).
Tuesday, November 29, 2016
Q3 2016: Multifamily Construction on the Rise
This article was originally published on ALEX Chatter: Q3 2016: Multifamily Construction on the Rise.
-----
The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development recently released new data on residential construction, including data for multifamily buildings (classified as structures with five or more units). All data is seasonally adjusted at an annual rate.
Building Permits
Total privately-owned residential housing units were authorized by building permits in the United States at a rate of 1,229,000 in October, an increase of 28,000 (2.3%) from the year-end 2015 rate of 1,201,000.
Permits for units in multifamily structures were at a 439,000 rate in October, up 11,000 (2.6%) from the end of 2015, and represented 36% of the total residential permits issued. The multifamily rate for 2015 was the highest year-end level since reaching 614,000 in 1986.
For 2015, the states with the highest multifamily permits as a percent of total residential permits were the District of Columbia (92.6%), New York (83.3%), New Jersey (62.3%), Connecticut (57.5%), and Massachusetts (55.8%).
Housing Starts
Total housing starts were at a 1,323,000 rate in October, an increase of 163,000 (14.1%) from the 2015 year-end total.
Housing starts in multifamily buildings were 445,000, up 67,000 (17.7%) from the end of 2015, and represented 34% of total residential starts. The 2015 total was the highest year-end rate since 381,000 at the end of 2003.
Total residential housing units authorized, but not started, were at rate of 129,000 at the end of October, down from 149,000 (-13.4%) at the end of 2015, including 62,000 in multifamily structures, down from 80,000 (-22.5%).
Housing Completions
Total housing completions were at a rate of 1,055,000 in October, up 22,000 (2.1%) from the end of 2015.
Completions in multifamily buildings were at a 300,000 rate, down 16,000 (-5.1%) from the end of 2015, and represented 28% of total completed residential units. The 2015 total was the highest year-end total since 326,000 units were completed in 2006.
At the end of October, there were 1,049,000 housing units under construction in the U.S., including 597,000 in multifamily structures, representing 57% of the total.
Tuesday, July 19, 2016
Summary of the JCHS’s State of the Nation's Housing 2016 Report
This article was originally published on ALEX Chatter: Harvard Study Shows Multifamily Demand at a Three-Decade High.
-----
The Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University (JCHS) recently released its The State of the Nation’s Housing 2016 report, which found that multifamily vacancy is at three-decade low, while rents are at a three-decade inflation-adjusted high.
Below are findings from the current report most relevant to multifamily investors.
Homeownership Continues to Decline
In 2015, the U.S. homeownership rate reached its lowest level since the 1960s, falling to 63.7%. Declines were particularly large in the first-time homebuyer age groups, although all age groups have declined since 1995 except for the oldest generations.
Three factors have led to the decline in homeownership. First, foreclosures remain approximately twice the annual average compared to before the downturn and are likely to continue to exert downward pressure on homeownership in the short-term. Second, subprime borrowers (those with credit scores below 620) are far less likely to have their mortgage credit extended as compared to during the early 2000s. Third, real incomes have dropped 18% among 25-34 year olds and 9% among 35-44 year olds between 2000 and 2014.
The report cites several factors expected to improve homeownership levels in the future, including a loosening of credit standards for mortgage borrowers and increased wage growth. It also states other factors that could have a negative effect on homeownership, such as the rising tide of student loan debt: The share of the 20-39 age group with student debt jumped to 39% in 2013, compared to 22% in 2001. During that time, the average debt balance increased from $17,000 to $30,000 per borrower.
Home buying has also been delayed by the increased average age of marriage and childbirth, as well as the growing minority population — though offset by aging baby boomers, who increased the rate of homeownership. The study was unable to make a determination as to whether the housing crisis permanently diminished the appeal of homeownership in the U.S., though points to evidence that it did not.
Rental Market
In good news for multifamily investors, the housing recovery continues to be driven by the rental market. Over 36% of U.S. households rented in 2015, the largest share since the late 1960s. The number of renters increased by 9 million over the previous 10 years, which was the largest 10-year gain on record. Demand has been driven by all age groups, with the largest gains measured among older renters and families with children.
This high level of demand has driven vacancy rates steadily downward since 2010, falling to 7.1% at the end of 2015. Additionally, rents increased 3.6% during 2015, based on the Consumer Price Index for rent of primary residences. Adjusted for inflation, it has been three decades since either indicator of the rental market reached such levels.
Although activity has spiked in the multifamily development pipeline, which could help loosen conditions, much of the new supply is intended for the upper end of the market. The national average for high-end new developments was $1,381 per month during 2015, well out of the price range of the typical earner’s average earnings of $35,000 per year.
The Moody’s/RCA price index for multifamily properties was 39% above its previous high at the end of 2015, and capitalization rates were below the levels reported prior to the recession. Valuations were especially high in gateway markets such as New York, where property levels were up 93% compared to their previous peak, and San Francisco, up 85%.
Affordability Remains an Issue
The number of cost-burdened households remains an issue on both the owner and renter sides.
On the ownership side, the number of households paying more than 30% of income for housing decreased by 4.4 million households since 2008, finishing off 2014 at 18.5 million. However, the decline in cost-burdened ownership has been improved by high foreclosure rates pushing out financially strained owners.
On the rental side, the number of households paying more than 30% of income for rent increased by 3.6 million since 2008, finishing off 2014 at 21.3 million. The number of severely burdened households paying more than 50% of income increased by 2.1 million, to a record 11.4 million. Among the nation’s lowest-income renters — those earning less than $15,000 — 72% are severely burdened.
Outlook
The rental market continues to expand at a robust pace, while the owner-occupied market continues to recover. Home prices have rebounded since the recession, and homeownership rates are expected to remain level over the next few years. However, affordability remains a major issue in the U.S., with record numbers of renters paying more than half their income for housing.
Download the full 2016 State of the Nation’s Housing report.
-----
The Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University (JCHS) recently released its The State of the Nation’s Housing 2016 report, which found that multifamily vacancy is at three-decade low, while rents are at a three-decade inflation-adjusted high.
Below are findings from the current report most relevant to multifamily investors.
Homeownership Continues to Decline
In 2015, the U.S. homeownership rate reached its lowest level since the 1960s, falling to 63.7%. Declines were particularly large in the first-time homebuyer age groups, although all age groups have declined since 1995 except for the oldest generations.
Three factors have led to the decline in homeownership. First, foreclosures remain approximately twice the annual average compared to before the downturn and are likely to continue to exert downward pressure on homeownership in the short-term. Second, subprime borrowers (those with credit scores below 620) are far less likely to have their mortgage credit extended as compared to during the early 2000s. Third, real incomes have dropped 18% among 25-34 year olds and 9% among 35-44 year olds between 2000 and 2014.
The report cites several factors expected to improve homeownership levels in the future, including a loosening of credit standards for mortgage borrowers and increased wage growth. It also states other factors that could have a negative effect on homeownership, such as the rising tide of student loan debt: The share of the 20-39 age group with student debt jumped to 39% in 2013, compared to 22% in 2001. During that time, the average debt balance increased from $17,000 to $30,000 per borrower.
Home buying has also been delayed by the increased average age of marriage and childbirth, as well as the growing minority population — though offset by aging baby boomers, who increased the rate of homeownership. The study was unable to make a determination as to whether the housing crisis permanently diminished the appeal of homeownership in the U.S., though points to evidence that it did not.
Rental Market
In good news for multifamily investors, the housing recovery continues to be driven by the rental market. Over 36% of U.S. households rented in 2015, the largest share since the late 1960s. The number of renters increased by 9 million over the previous 10 years, which was the largest 10-year gain on record. Demand has been driven by all age groups, with the largest gains measured among older renters and families with children.
This high level of demand has driven vacancy rates steadily downward since 2010, falling to 7.1% at the end of 2015. Additionally, rents increased 3.6% during 2015, based on the Consumer Price Index for rent of primary residences. Adjusted for inflation, it has been three decades since either indicator of the rental market reached such levels.
Although activity has spiked in the multifamily development pipeline, which could help loosen conditions, much of the new supply is intended for the upper end of the market. The national average for high-end new developments was $1,381 per month during 2015, well out of the price range of the typical earner’s average earnings of $35,000 per year.
The Moody’s/RCA price index for multifamily properties was 39% above its previous high at the end of 2015, and capitalization rates were below the levels reported prior to the recession. Valuations were especially high in gateway markets such as New York, where property levels were up 93% compared to their previous peak, and San Francisco, up 85%.
Affordability Remains an Issue
The number of cost-burdened households remains an issue on both the owner and renter sides.
On the ownership side, the number of households paying more than 30% of income for housing decreased by 4.4 million households since 2008, finishing off 2014 at 18.5 million. However, the decline in cost-burdened ownership has been improved by high foreclosure rates pushing out financially strained owners.
On the rental side, the number of households paying more than 30% of income for rent increased by 3.6 million since 2008, finishing off 2014 at 21.3 million. The number of severely burdened households paying more than 50% of income increased by 2.1 million, to a record 11.4 million. Among the nation’s lowest-income renters — those earning less than $15,000 — 72% are severely burdened.
Outlook
The rental market continues to expand at a robust pace, while the owner-occupied market continues to recover. Home prices have rebounded since the recession, and homeownership rates are expected to remain level over the next few years. However, affordability remains a major issue in the U.S., with record numbers of renters paying more than half their income for housing.
Download the full 2016 State of the Nation’s Housing report.
Monday, May 16, 2016
Top Performing Multifamily Markets - Q1 2016
The multifamily market has experienced a nearly unprecedented run since the end of the recession. Multifamily growth has been driven by age related demographic trends, homeownership is nearing its lowest point in nearly half a century, and foreign investment reaching new highs.
As the multifamily cycle matures, investors are beginning to seek out value-add markets. This week’s release of Q1 2016 data from Reis gives an opportunity to examine the strongest performing markets over the last 12 months.
According to Reis, the hottest multifamily market in the U.S. has been Portland, where asking rents increased 9.7% year-over-year, climbing to $1,084/unit in Q1 2016 from $988/unit in Q1 2015. Only one year ago, Portland ranked #26 on the rent growth list. Job growth has been strong across the board in Portland, boosted by high-tech commerce, including renewable energy businesses and tech start-ups. As compared to the Bay Area, Portland’s local economy — built on port distribution, strong tourism, and affordability — should help the market remain a strong performer in the longer run.
Full Article: ALEX Chatter
Friday, April 8, 2016
In Case You Missed It: Week of April 4, 2016
Manhattan rents drop for first time in 2 years
The Real Deal
April 7, 2016
“For the first time in two years, the median residential rental price has decreased in the borough, according to a new report by Douglas Elliman. The median rent in March dropped to $3,300, a 2.8 percent decrease from March 2015. Over the last few months, the rate of price growth slowed, preluding a rental flatline.”
U.S. Apartment Market Shows Signs of Losing Steam
The Wall Street Journal ($)
April 7, 2016
“The apartment-rental market cooled in the first quarter, according to reports from three research companies, suggesting a six-year boom that has pushed the cost of housing to unaffordable heights in many U.S. cities might be coming to an end.”
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (2016) Teaser Trailer
Trailer Addict
April 07, 2016
“Rogue One is about a group of rebels who set out on a mission to steal the plans for the Death Star. This is only the first teaser, so don't expect too much to be revealed, but they do show quite a bit and it looks amazing.”
Experts warn affordable housing rules will hurt development
The New York Post
April 5, 2016
“The City Council and Mayor de Blasio can high-five all they want, but real estate experts believe the new Mandatory Inclusionary Housing (MIH) policies that require affordable units to be interspersed throughout buildings — while so far, not providing any real estate tax breaks in return for the lower rents — will put a damper on development.”
Will Rising U.S. Debt Levels Keep the Fed On Hold?
Charles Schwab
April 4, 2016
“The national debt factors into the Fed’s decisions only insofar as it affects the economy and inflation. Otherwise, fiscal policy is in the hands of Congress. So, what do the debt dynamics look like? The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) compiles a lot of useful data on this topic. It recently released its updated 10-year projections for the country’s financial outlook. The report is available online here, and we’ll take a closer look at some of the numbers below.”
Bryce Harper wore a 'Make Baseball Fun Again' hat after the Nationals' win
USA Today | For The Win
April 4, 2016
“Harper has been outspoken in his dissatisfaction with baseball’s unwritten rules. He wants players to express themselves and have fun on the field. He is in favor of the bat flip, and bat flips are awesome. Harper 2016.”
MAP: The Ramones' New York
DNAinfo
April 3, 2016
“The Queens Museum is about to unveil its tribute exhibit, "Hey! Ho! Let's Go: Ramones and the Birth of Punk" on April 10 — honoring the band's deep roots in the borough. But before Joey, Johnny, Dee Dee and Tommy Ramone — and later Marky, Richie, Elvis and CJ — took the world by storm, they got their start in Forest Hills. The original bandmates lived on Yellowstone Boulevard and wreaked havoc on Queens Boulevard, connecting at Forest Hills High School.”
The Real Deal
April 7, 2016
“For the first time in two years, the median residential rental price has decreased in the borough, according to a new report by Douglas Elliman. The median rent in March dropped to $3,300, a 2.8 percent decrease from March 2015. Over the last few months, the rate of price growth slowed, preluding a rental flatline.”
U.S. Apartment Market Shows Signs of Losing Steam
The Wall Street Journal ($)
April 7, 2016
“The apartment-rental market cooled in the first quarter, according to reports from three research companies, suggesting a six-year boom that has pushed the cost of housing to unaffordable heights in many U.S. cities might be coming to an end.”
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (2016) Teaser Trailer
Trailer Addict
April 07, 2016
“Rogue One is about a group of rebels who set out on a mission to steal the plans for the Death Star. This is only the first teaser, so don't expect too much to be revealed, but they do show quite a bit and it looks amazing.”
Experts warn affordable housing rules will hurt development
The New York Post
April 5, 2016
“The City Council and Mayor de Blasio can high-five all they want, but real estate experts believe the new Mandatory Inclusionary Housing (MIH) policies that require affordable units to be interspersed throughout buildings — while so far, not providing any real estate tax breaks in return for the lower rents — will put a damper on development.”
Will Rising U.S. Debt Levels Keep the Fed On Hold?
Charles Schwab
April 4, 2016
“The national debt factors into the Fed’s decisions only insofar as it affects the economy and inflation. Otherwise, fiscal policy is in the hands of Congress. So, what do the debt dynamics look like? The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) compiles a lot of useful data on this topic. It recently released its updated 10-year projections for the country’s financial outlook. The report is available online here, and we’ll take a closer look at some of the numbers below.”
Bryce Harper wore a 'Make Baseball Fun Again' hat after the Nationals' win
USA Today | For The Win
April 4, 2016
“Harper has been outspoken in his dissatisfaction with baseball’s unwritten rules. He wants players to express themselves and have fun on the field. He is in favor of the bat flip, and bat flips are awesome. Harper 2016.”
MAP: The Ramones' New York
DNAinfo
April 3, 2016
“The Queens Museum is about to unveil its tribute exhibit, "Hey! Ho! Let's Go: Ramones and the Birth of Punk" on April 10 — honoring the band's deep roots in the borough. But before Joey, Johnny, Dee Dee and Tommy Ramone — and later Marky, Richie, Elvis and CJ — took the world by storm, they got their start in Forest Hills. The original bandmates lived on Yellowstone Boulevard and wreaked havoc on Queens Boulevard, connecting at Forest Hills High School.”
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)